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The Predictabilty of German Stock Returns
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 137

The Predictabilty of German Stock Returns

Ten years ago, most textbooks on financial management advocated the thesis that stock returns are essentially unpredictable. This theory is called the Random Walk Approach to the development of asset prices. The approach said that the stock market is subject to random changes, which are, by definition, unpredictable. Apparent predictabilities, if ever discovered, were either dismissed as statistical artifacts or as data that cannot be exploited after transaction costs. In the meantime, the world of financial economics has turned upside down. We now realize clearly that returns are indeed predictable to a large extent. Recent studies have confirmed that U.S. stock returns are highly predictab...

Mutual Funds and Exchange-traded Funds
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 663

Mutual Funds and Exchange-traded Funds

Mutual Funds and Exchange-Traded Funds: Building Blocks to Wealth provides a fresh look at this intriguing but often complex subject. Its coverage spans the gamut from theoretical to practical coverage.

Encyclopedia of Finance
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 861

Encyclopedia of Finance

This is a major new reference work covering all aspects of finance. Coverage includes finance (financial management, security analysis, portfolio management, financial markets and instruments, insurance, real estate, options and futures, international finance) and statistical applications in finance (applications in portfolio analysis, option pricing models and financial research). The project is designed to attract both an academic and professional market. It also has an international approach to ensure its maximum appeal. The Editors' wish is that the readers will find the encyclopedia to be an invaluable resource.

Empirical Asset Pricing
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 497

Empirical Asset Pricing

  • Type: Book
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  • Published: 2019-03-26
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  • Publisher: MIT Press

An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical...

What Determines Expected International Asset Returns?
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 68

What Determines Expected International Asset Returns?

  • Type: Book
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  • Published: 1994
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  • Publisher: Unknown

This paper characterizes the forces that determine time-variation in expected international asset returns. We offer a number of innovations. By using the latent factor technique, we do not have to prespecify the sources of risk. We solve for the latent premiums and characterize their time-variation. We find evidence that the first factor premium resembles the expected return on the world market portfolio. However, the inclusion of this premium alone is not sufficient to explain the conditional variation in the returns. We find evidence of a second factor premium which is related to foreign exchange risk. Our sample includes new data on both international industry portfolios and international fixed income portfolios. We find that the two latent factor model performs better in explaining the conditional variation in asset returns than a prespecified two factor model. Finally, we show that differences in the risk loadings are important in accounting for the cross-sectional variation in the international returns.

Proceedings - Seminar on the Analysis of Security Prices
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 428

Proceedings - Seminar on the Analysis of Security Prices

  • Type: Book
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  • Published: 1994
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  • Publisher: Unknown

None

Conditional Asset Allocation in Emerging Markets
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 60

Conditional Asset Allocation in Emerging Markets

  • Type: Book
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  • Published: 1994
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  • Publisher: Unknown

Within the context of conditional asset allocation strategies, this paper explores the implications of the low correlations of the emerging market returns with developed market returns and the relatively high degree predictability of emerging countries' returns. It is well known that low correlations improve investment opportunities and my research provides out-of-sample validation of the improved performance. However, the most dramatic enhancement is generated by the use of conditioning information. Portfolio strategies that use conditioning information to predict emerging market returns produce impressive out-of-sample performance over the 1980-1992 period.

JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONON
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 890

JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONON

  • Type: Book
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  • Published: 1994
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  • Publisher: Unknown

None

Characterizing Predictable Components in Excess Returns on Equity and Foreign Exchange Markets
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 62

Characterizing Predictable Components in Excess Returns on Equity and Foreign Exchange Markets

  • Type: Book
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  • Published: 1991
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  • Publisher: Unknown

The paper characterizes predictable components in excess rates of returns on major equity and foreign exchange markets using lagged excess returns, dividend yields, and forward premiums as instruments. Vector autoregressive techniques demonstrate one-step-ahead predictability and provide implied long-horizon statistics. We estimate latent variable models as constrained counterparts to the VARs. The predictability of returns is related to asset pricing models by examining the volatility bounds on intertemporal marginal rates of substitution.

International Capital Markets
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 632

International Capital Markets

  • Type: Book
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  • Published: 2003
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  • Publisher: Unknown

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