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William Morgan
This book will be the first full length biography of William Morgan, a founding figure in the development of actuarial science and the insurance business in the UK. This biography explains William Morgan’s role in developing the mathematics that underpin the money management of pension funds. It focuses also on the experiment in which Morgan created an X-ray tube, and examines his outspoken political views and turbulent private life. As well as exploring his public life, this biography uses unpublished family letters to open a window on Morgan’s private life.
The Correspondence of Richard Price
This third volume in the series completes the known extant correspondence of Richard Price (1732-1791). Perhaps best known as a political philosopher, Price made significant contributions to Anglo-American intellectual life in the late 18th century in a variety of fields. This collection of letters covers a range of topics including religion, theology, politics, education, liberty, finance, demography and insurance.
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Willful Ignorance
An original account of willful ignorance and how this principle relates to modern probability and statistical methods Through a series of colorful stories about great thinkers and the problems they chose to solve, the author traces the historical evolution of probability and explains how statistical methods have helped to propel scientific research. However, the past success of statistics has depended on vast, deliberate simplifications amounting to willful ignorance, and this very success now threatens future advances in medicine, the social sciences, and other fields. Limitations of existing methods result in frequent reversals of scientific findings and recommendations, to the consternati...
